Pure Trade Ideas
2026-01-04 06:31
Regime
Mixed momentum - indices flat but individual stock dispersion high
Bias
Sector rotation in progress - favor industrials, semis breaking out
Best Setups
Individual stock breakouts (INTC, AMD), sector rotation plays (XLI)
Avoid
Large cap tech showing weakness, stay away from fallen angels
📈

Stock Ideas

4 ideas
INTC
LONG
high 2-4 weeks 3-4% portfolio
Breaking out from multi-month consolidation with explosive volume. +6.72% move confirms momentum shift. Strong relative strength vs semis.
Catalyst: Potential AI chip partnership rumors, earnings expectations reset
Entry
$40.00 on pullback or $41.50 breakout continuation
Target
$48.00
Stop
$37.50
R:R
3:1
Invalidation: Close below $38.50 would signal false breakout
AMD
LONG
medium 3-6 weeks 2-3% portfolio
+4.35% surge with volume expansion. Breaking above 20-day MA resistance. AI momentum play catching up to NVDA.
Catalyst: CES 2026 AI chip announcements, data center growth
Entry
$225.00 on any pullback
Target
$250.00
Stop
$210.00
R:R
1.7:1
Invalidation: Break below $215 negates momentum thesis
XLI
LONG
high 4-8 weeks 4% portfolio
Industrials ETF hitting 52-week highs with strong momentum. Infrastructure spending theme accelerating.
Catalyst: Infrastructure bill implementations, manufacturing reshoring
Entry
$158.50 on any minor pullback
Target
$168.00
Stop
$153.00
R:R
1.7:1
Invalidation: Break below $155 ends sector rotation
CRM
SHORT
medium 2-4 weeks 2% portfolio
-4.26% breakdown with volume. Breaking key support levels, weak relative strength vs tech
Catalyst: SaaS multiple compression, growth concerns
Entry
$250.00 on any bounce
Target
$220.00
Stop
$265.00
R:R
2:1
Invalidation: Reclaim above $260 negates breakdown
🛢️

Commodity Ideas

2 ideas
Gold
SHORT
medium GLD ETF or Gold Futures 3-6 weeks
Failed at resistance near $4556 highs. Dollar strength and rising yields pressuring metals
Entry
$4320 area on any bounce
Target
$4150
Stop
$4400
R:R
2.1:1
Key Levels: Support at $4200, resistance at $4350
Crude Oil
LONG
speculative USO ETF or CL Futures 4-8 weeks
Potential bounce from near 52-week lows. Geopolitical risks underpriced
Entry
$56.50 on further weakness
Target
$63.00
Stop
$54.50
R:R
3.3:1
Key Levels: Major support at $55, resistance at $60

Crypto Ideas

3 ideas
BTC
LONG
high 4-8 weeks 5% portfolio
Breaking above $91K resistance with momentum. Strong institutional flows continuing
On-Chain Signal: Exchange outflows indicating accumulation
Entry
$90,500 on pullbacks
Target
$105,000
Stop
$86,000
R:R
3.2:1
SOL
LONG
high 3-6 weeks 3% portfolio
+2.09% move with strong momentum. Solana ecosystem expanding rapidly
On-Chain Signal: DEX volumes increasing, meme coin activity
Entry
$133.00 on dips
Target
$160.00
Stop
$125.00
R:R
3.4:1
PEPE
LONG
speculative 1-3 weeks 0.5% portfolio max
Meme coin momentum accelerating. +5% today, trending #1
On-Chain Signal: Social volume spiking, whale accumulation
Entry
Current levels $0.00000642
Target
$0.00001000
Stop
$0.00000520
R:R
3:1
📊

Options Plays

2 plays
INTC
high
Long Calls | $42 strike | February 21, 2026
Leverage on momentum breakout. High vol gives better entry
Max Risk
Premium paid ~$1.50
Max Reward
Unlimited above $43.50
Breakeven
$43.50
Ideal Scenario: Stock continues above $45 by expiry
XLI
medium
Bull Call Spread | Buy $160, Sell $165 | March 21, 2026
Limited risk way to play sector rotation into industrials
Max Risk
~$2.00 spread cost
Max Reward
$5.00 (spread width)
Breakeven
$162.00
Ideal Scenario: XLI closes above $165 at expiry
⚖️

Pairs Trades

1 pairs
medium 1:1 dollar weighted 6-10 weeks
LONG
AMD
vs
SHORT
INTC
AMD resuming leadership over INTC in AI/data center space
Entry Spread
AMD trading 5.7x INTC price
Target Spread
6.5x ratio
Stop Spread
5.2x ratio
🚫

Avoid These

🚫 TSLA
Falling knife - down 2.6% in weak market, breaking support
The Trap: Looks 'cheap' vs highs but momentum is clearly broken
🚫 META
Breaking down from highs, weak relative strength
The Trap: PE looks attractive but technical damage is significant
🚫 NFLX
Major breakdown in progress, testing lows
The Trap: Streaming narrative intact but price action is bearish