Regime
Mixed momentum with sector rotation - Energy/selective names showing strength while tech faces pressure
Bias
Cautiously bullish on energy, bearish on weakness breakdown plays
Best Setups
Energy breakouts, Tesla momentum, and high-conviction breakdown shorts in weak semis
Avoid
Broad tech (except momentum names), anything near 52-week lows without clear catalyst
high
2-4 weeks
3-4%
Strong momentum breakout above $425 resistance with 3.3% surge and massive volume (82M shares). Breaking out of multi-week consolidation pattern with conviction
Catalyst: Continued EV momentum, potential earnings beat, or production update catalyst
Entry
$430-432 on any pullback or breakout continuation above $435
Target
$485 (previous resistance level)
Stop
$410 (below recent consolidation low)
Invalidation: Break below $410 or failure to hold above $425
medium
3-6 weeks
2-3%
Energy sector showing relative strength, XLE hitting near 52-week highs at $51.05 with strong volume. Momentum acceleration in oil prices supporting
Catalyst: Rising oil prices, geopolitical tensions, or supply concerns
Entry
$51.00-51.20 on any minor pullback
Target
$55.50 (next resistance)
Stop
$49.20 (below recent swing low)
Invalidation: Break below $49 or oil price collapse
medium
2-4 weeks
2%
Heavy selling pressure with -2.95% decline on volume, breaking down from recent highs near $738. Showing weakness vs tech peers
Catalyst: Earnings disappointment, AI spending concerns, or regulatory pressure
Entry
$715 or break below $710 with volume
Target
$650 (next major support)
Stop
$740 (above recent highs)
Invalidation: Reclaim above $740 or broader tech recovery
high
3-5 weeks
3%
Massive -6.1% breakdown on heavy volume, breaking key support. Semiconductor weakness with relative underperformance vs NVDA
Catalyst: Earnings guidance cut, competitive pressure from NVDA, or data center weakness
Entry
$235 or any bounce to $240-245
Target
$200 (major support level)
Stop
$255 (above breakdown point)
Invalidation: Reclaim above $252 or sector rotation back to semis
medium
2-4 weeks
3-4%
Holding above $83K with +1.54% momentum, showing resilience near recent lows. Institutional buying on dips likely
On-Chain Signal: Strong spot ETF inflows supporting price action
Entry
$83,000-83,500 on any minor pullback
Target
$92,000 (next resistance level)
Stop
$80,000 (below recent support)
speculative
2-3 weeks
1-2%
Massive +6.68% surge with strong momentum, up 33% weekly. New DeFi protocol gaining traction
On-Chain Signal: High trading volume and TVL growth
Entry
$30.50-31.00 on any minor pullback
Target
$42.00 (previous resistance)
Stop
$26.00 (below recent breakout)
medium
3-5 weeks
2%
Weak relative performance vs BTC, -1.18% decline with poor momentum. Breaking down from recent highs
On-Chain Signal: Declining network activity and fees
Entry
$2680-2700 on any bounce
Target
$2400 (major support)
Stop
$2800 (above recent highs)