Regime
Mixed momentum with sector rotation - Energy/Industrials strong, Tech mixed
Bias
Cautiously bullish with focus on relative strength plays
Best Setups
Momentum stocks breaking to new highs, commodity uptrends, crypto continuation
Avoid
Financials under pressure, weak tech names, anything near lows without catalyst
high
2-4 weeks
3-4% portfolio
AMD showing strength with +1.6% gain on heavy volume while semis mixed. Breaking above 200 level with conviction, relative strength vs peers like NVDA/INTC
Catalyst: AI chip demand, data center growth, potential earnings beat expectations
Entry
$203.50-204.00 on any pullback
Target
$225.00 (prior resistance)
Invalidation: Break below $195 or sector rotation out of semis
medium
3-6 weeks
2-3% portfolio
Industrials sector showing momentum +0.74% approaching 52-week high at $177.76. Infrastructure spending tailwinds, economic resilience theme
Catalyst: Infrastructure bills, manufacturing renaissance, dovish Fed supporting cyclicals
Invalidation: Break below 20-day MA or recession fears resurface
medium
4-8 weeks
2% portfolio
Energy sector near 52-week high ($55.88) with oil momentum. Crude breaking $67 with volume, energy showing relative strength
Catalyst: Geopolitical tensions, supply constraints, seasonal driving demand
Invalidation: Oil breaks below $64 or demand concerns emerge
medium
2-4 weeks
2% portfolio
Netflix near 52-week low at $75.23, showing weakness -1.3% on heavy volume. Streaming wars intensifying, content costs rising
Catalyst: Subscriber growth concerns, competition from Disney+/Apple, content cost inflation
Invalidation: Break above $80 or positive subscriber data
high
4-6 weeks
3% portfolio
Intel weak -1.8% while AMD rallies, showing massive underperformance. Stuck in downtrend, losing market share to AMD/NVDA
Catalyst: Market share losses, manufacturing delays, AI chip disadvantage
Invalidation: Break above $47 or positive foundry news
high
GLD ETF
2-3 months
Gold strong +1.0% breaking $5000, momentum accelerating. Fed dovish pivot, geopolitical tensions, inflation hedging demand
Entry
$5030-5050 on any dip
Key Levels: Support: $4850, Resistance: $5200, $5400
medium
USO ETF
3-6 weeks
Oil breaking higher +0.9% with volume, approaching key resistance at $70. Supply concerns, geopolitical premium
Key Levels: Support: $64, Resistance: $70, $75
speculative
SLV ETF
1-2 months
Silver lagging gold but industrial demand strong. Catch-up trade to gold rally, solar/EV demand tailwinds
Entry
Current levels around $28
Key Levels: Support: $26, Resistance: $30, $32
high
4-8 weeks
3% portfolio
Bitcoin breaking higher +1.0% with strong volume, momentum building above $67K. Institutional adoption accelerating
On-Chain Signal: Whale accumulation, exchange outflows increasing
Entry
$67,000-67,500 on any dip
medium
2-4 weeks
2% portfolio
Solana showing relative strength +1.5%, ecosystem growing with DeFi/NFT activity. Outperforming ETH recently
On-Chain Signal: DEX volume increasing, validator count growing
speculative
3-5 weeks
1.5% portfolio
Ethereum underperforming BTC, down -1.3% while BTC up. ETH/BTC ratio declining, competition from Solana
On-Chain Signal: Gas fees declining, Layer 2 migration continuing